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Naira forwards signal calmer currency expectations

The gap between spot and forward rates has narrowed, easing one source of corporate uncertainty.

Adaeze Okonkwo

Markets Editor4 min read

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The spread between the naira's spot rate and its forward contracts has narrowed in recent weeks, a sign that the market expects less volatility over the coming year.

For companies with foreign-currency obligations, the forward curve is a practical planning tool. A flatter curve lowers the premium they must pay to hedge, which can encourage more firms to cover their exposure.

A fragile improvement

Dealers warned that the improvement is conditional on continued inflows and on the central bank's ability to meet demand at the official window. A single shock could widen the spread again quickly.

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